Sanctions against Iran: Lessons for Russia in the new international context

Authors

  • Ivan Timofeev MGIMO University, 76, pr. Vernadskogo, Moscow, 119454, Russian Federation
  • Yulia Sokolshchik Russian International Affairs Council, 8, 4-y Dobryninsky per., Moscow, 119049, Russian Federation
  • Vladimir Morozov Russian International Affairs Council, 8, 4-y Dobryninsky per., Moscow, 119049, Russian Federation

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.21638/spbu06.2022.404

Abstract

The escalation of sanctions pressure and the expansion of the range of sanctions used against Russia provides for understanding the importance of studying international experience in countering restrictive measures. The article discusses the features of the application of sanctions against Iran, their impact on the economy of the state, as well as the mechanisms and ways of its adaptation to the restrictive measures of Western countries. The authors identify typological similarities, in view of which the study of the Iranian experience is significant for Russia, and differences that deserve attention in terms of understanding Russia’s capabilities in this area. Iran has been under sanctions for several decades, large-scale and numerous restrictions have been applied against it. The nuclear deal contributed to eased sanctions pressure for a short period only, proving that such agreements on concessions by the target country in response to the lifting of restrictions by the initiating states are not always sustainable. As a result of the analysis, the main stages of imposing sanctions against Iran are defined. The authors highlight the trend towards sanctions against the energy and financial sector and its constant tightening, as well as the increasing number of participants in the coalition of initiating countries and the UN Security Council resolution on measures against Iran. The UN Security Council sanctions are viewed as serious measures in terms of foreign policy implications. In addition, the authors reveal the key elements of Iran’s policy in the field of countering restrictive measures and adapting the economy to them. Measures related to structural changes in the economy, optimization of the social sphere, use of imperfection of sanctions regimes, diversification of international partners are indicated as such components. Thus, Iran’s experience in adapting to sanctions can rather be characterized as successful and relevant for Russia, despite the different starting positions.

Keywords:

sanctions, Iran, UN Security Council, countermeasures, Russia

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References

Литература

Тимофеев, И. Н. (2020), Сомнительная эффективность? Санкции против России до и после февраля, Россия в глобальной политике, т. 20, № 4, с. 136–152.

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Executive Order 12205 of April 17, 1980: Prohibiting Certain Transactions with Iran, U.S. Department of the Treasury. URL: https://www.treasury.gov/resource-center/sanctions/Programs/Documents/Executive%20Order%2012205.pdf (дата обращения: 23.09.2022).

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Executive Order 12959 of May 6, 1995: Prohibiting Certain Transactions with Respect to Iran, U.S. Department of the Treasury. URL: https://www.treasury.gov/resource-center/sanctions/Documents/12959.pdf (дата обращения: 23.09.2022).

Executive Order 13059 of August 19, 1997: Prohibiting Certain Transactions with Respect to Iran, U.S. Department of the Treasury. URL: https://www.treasury.gov/resource-center/sanctions/Documents/13059.pdf (дата обращения: 23.09.2022).

Public Law 104-172: Iran and Libya Sanctions Act signed on 5 August 1996, U.S. Congress. URL: https://www.congress.gov/104/plaws/publ172/PLAW-104publ172.pdf (дата обращения: 23.09.2022).

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Graaf, Th. Van de (2013), The “Oil Weapon” Reversed? Sanctions Against Iran and US-EU Structural Power, Middle East Policy, vol. 20 (3), pp. 145–163.

Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action signed in Vienna on 14 July 2015, Council of the European Union. URL: https://eeas.europa.eu/archives/docs/statements-eeas/docs/iran_agreement/iran_joint-comprehensive-plan-of-action_en.pdf (дата обращения: 23.09.2022).

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Executive Order 13846 of August 6, 2018: Reimposing Certain Sanctions with Respect to Iran, U.S. Federal Register. URL: https://www.federalregister.gov/documents/2018/08/07/2018-17068/reimposingcertain-sanctions-with-respect-to-iran (дата обращения: 23.09.2022).

Executive Order 13871 of May 8, 2019: Imposing Sanctions with Respect to the Iron, Steel, Aluminum, and Copper Sectors of Iran, U.S. Department of the Treasury. URL: https://home.treasury.gov/system/files/126/13871.pdf (дата обращения: 23.09.2022).

Executive Order 13902 of January 10, 2020: Imposing Sanctions with Respect to Additional Sectors of Iran, U.S. Department of the Treasury. URL: https://home.treasury.gov/system/files/126/13902.pdf (дата обращения: 23.09.2022).

Executive Order 13876 of June 24, 2019: Imposing Sanctions with Respect to Iran, U.S. Department of the Treasury. URL: https://home.treasury.gov/system/files/126/13876.pdf (дата обращения: 23.09.2022).

U.S. Imports from Iran of Crude Oil and Petroleum Products, U.S. Energy Information Administration. URL: https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=MTTIM_NUS-NIR_2&f=A (дата обращения: 23.09.2022).

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Askari, H., Forrer, J., Teegen, H. and Yang, J. (2001), US Economic Sanctions: Lessons from the Iranian Experience, Business Economics, vol. 36 (3), pp. 7–19.

Torbat, A. E. (2005), Impacts of the US Trade and Financial Sanctions on Iran, The World Economy, vol. 28 (3), pp. 407–434.

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Farzanegan, M. R. and Hayo, B. (2019), Sanctions and the shadow economy: Empirical evidence from Iranian provinces, Applied Economics Letters, vol. 26 (6), pp. 501–505.

Dastgerdi, H. G., Yusof, Z. B. and Shahbaz, M. (2018), Nexus between economic sanctions and inflation: A case study in Iran, Applied Economics, vol. 50 (49), pp. 5316–5334.

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Timofeev, I. N. (2019), Rethinking Sanctions Efficiency, Evidence from 205 U.S. Government Enforcement Actions Against Business, Russia In Global Affairs, no. 3 (July-September), pp. 86–108.

Clawson, P. (2013), Iran beyond Oil?, Policy Watch. URL: https://www.washingtoninstitute.org/policy-analysis/view/iran-beyond-oil (дата обращения: 23.09.2022).

Drummond, J. and Khalaj, M. (2011), Iran Finds Way Round Petrol Sanctions, The Financial Times. URL: https://www.ft.com/content/fabc2bba-32da-11e0-9a61-00144feabdc0 (дата обращения: 23.09.2022).

Saul, J. and Kasolowsky, R. (2010), Iran feels sanctions heat at UAE ports, Reuters. URL: https://www.reuters.com/article/us-iran-emirates-shipping/iran-feels-sanctions-heat-at-uae-ports-idUSTRE6721I520100803 (дата обращения: 23.09.2022).

Irish, J. and Alkousaa, R. (2019), Skirting U.S. sanctions, Europeans open new trade channel to Iran, Reuters. URL: https://www.reuters.com/article/us-iran-usa-sanctions-eu/germany-france-britain-tolaunch-mechanism-for-trade-with-iran-idUSKCN1PP0K3 (дата обращения: 23.09.2022).

JCPOA: Chair’s Statement following the meeting of the Joint Commission on 26 February 2020, European External Action Service. URL: https://eeas.europa.eu/headquarters/headquarters-homepage/75190/jcpoa-chairs-statement-following-meeting-joint-commission_en (дата обращения: 23.09.2022).

Press release on 27 February 2020: United States and Switzerland Finalize the Swiss Humanitarian Trade Arrangement, U.S. Department of the Treasury. URL: https://home.treasury.gov/news/press-releases/sm919 (дата обращения: 23.09.2022).

General License No. 8 Authorizing Certain Humanitarian Trade Transactions Involving the Central Bank of Iran on 27 February 2020, Office of Foreign Assets Control, U.S. Department of the Treasury. URL: https://www.treasury.gov/resource-center/sanctions/Programs/Documents/gtsr_gl8.pdf (дата обращения: 23.09.2022).

Leader’s Speech to Government Officials on 24 July 2012. URL: http://english.khamenei.ir/news/1655/Leader-s-Speech-to-Government-Officials (дата обращения: 23.09.2022).


References

Timofeev, I. N. (2020), Controversial Effectiveness? Sanctions against Russia Before and After February, Russia in Global Affairs, vol. 20, no. 4, pp. 136–152. (In Russian)

Executive Order 12170 of November 11, 1979: Blocking Iranian Government property, Office of the Federal Register. Available at: https://www.archives.gov/federal-register/codification/executive-order/12170. html (accessed: 23.09.2022).

Executive Order 12205 of April 17, 1980: Prohibiting Certain Transactions with Iran, U.S. Department of the Treasury. Available at: https://www.treasury.gov/resource-center/sanctions/Programs/Documents/Executive%20Order%2012205.pdf (accessed: 23.09.2022).

Executive Order 12211 of April 17, 1980: Prohibiting Certain Transactions with Iran, U.S. Department of the Treasury. Available at: https://www.treasury.gov/resource-center/sanctions/Documents/12211.pdf (accessed: 23.09.2022).

Executive Order 12282 of January 19, 1981: Revocation of Prohibitions Against Transactions involving Iran, Office of the Federal Register. Available at: https://www.archives.gov/federal-register/codification/executive-order/12282.html (accessed: 23.09.2022).

Executive Order 12613 of October 29, 1987: Prohibiting imports from Iran, Office of the Federal Register. Available at: https://www.archives.gov/federal-register/codification/executive-order/12613.html (accessed: 23.09.2022).

Executive Orders 12957 of March 15, 1995: Prohibiting Certain Transactions with Respect to the Development of Iranian Petroleum Resources, U.S. Department of the Treasury. Available at: https://www.treasury.gov/resource-center/sanctions/Documents/12957.pdf (accessed: 23.09.2022).

Executive Order 12959 of May 6, 1995: Prohibiting Certain Transactions with Respect to Iran, U.S. Department of the Treasury. Available at: https://www.treasury.gov/resource-center/sanctions/Documents/12959.pdf (accessed: 23.09.2022).

Executive Order 13059 of August 19, 1997: Prohibiting Certain Transactions WITH Respect to Iran, U.S. Department of the Treasury. Available at: https://www.treasury.gov/resource-center/sanctions/Documents/13059.pdf (accessed: 23.09.2022).

Public Law 104-172: Iran and Libya Sanctions Act signed on 5 August 1996, U.S. Congress. Available at: https://www.congress.gov/104/plaws/publ172/PLAW-104publ172.pdf (accessed: 23.09.2022).

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Public Law 112-239 of January 2, 2013: National Defence Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2013, U.S. Congress. Available at: https://www.treasury.gov/resource-center/sanctions/Programs/Documents/pl112_239.pdf (accessed: 23.09.2022).

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Council Decision 2012/635/CFSP of 23 January 2012 amending Decision 2010/413/CFSP concerning restrictive measures against Iran, Official Journal of the European Union. Available at: https://eur-lex.europa.eu/LexUriServ/LexUriServ.do?uri=OJ:L:2012:282:0058:0069:EN:PDF (accessed: 23.09.2022).

Graaf, Th. Van de (2013), The “Oil Weapon” Reversed? Sanctions Against Iran and US-EU Structural Power, Middle East Policy, vol. 20 (3), pp. 145–163.

Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action signed in Vienna on 14 July 2015, Council of the European Union. Available at: https://eeas.europa.eu/archives/docs/statements-eeas/docs/iran_agreement/iran_joint-comprehensive-plan-of-action_en.pdf (accessed: 23.09.2022).

Executive Order 13716 of January 16, 2016: Revocation of Executive Orders 13574, 13590, 13622, and 13645 with Respect to Iran, Amendment of Executive Order 13628 with Respect to Iran, and Provision of Implementation Authorities for Aspects of Certain Statutory Sanctions Outside the Scope of U.S. Commitments under the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action of July 14, 2015, U.S. Government Publishing Office. Available at: https://www.govinfo.gov/content/pkg/DCPD-201600020/pdf/DCPD-201600020.pdf (accessed: 23.09.2022).

Public Law 115-44 of August 2, 2017: Countering America’s Adversaries Through Sanctions Act, U.S. Government Publishing Office. Available at: https://www.govinfo.gov/app/details/PLAW-115publ44 (accessed: 23.09.2022).

Executive Order 13846 of August 6, 2018: Reimposing Certain Sanctions with Respect to Iran, U.S. Federal Register. Available at: https://www.federalregister.gov/documents/2018/08/07/2018-17068/reimposing-certain-sanctions-with-respect-to-iran (accessed: 23.09.2022).

Executive Order 13871 of May 8, 2019: Imposing Sanctions with Respect to the Iron, Steel, Aluminum, and Copper Sectors of Iran, U.S. Department of the Treasury. Available at: https://home.treasury.gov/system/files/126/13871.pdf (accessed: 23.09.2022).

Executive Order 13902 of January 10, 2020: Imposing Sanctions with Respect to Additional Sectors of Iran, U.S. Department of the Treasury. Available at: https://home.treasury.gov/system/files/126/13902.pdf (accessed: 23.09.2022).

Executive Order 13876 of June 24, 2019: Imposing Sanctions with Respect to Iran, U.S. Department of the Treasury. Available at: https://home.treasury.gov/system/files/126/13876.pdf (accessed: 23.09.2022).

U.S. Imports from Iran of Crude Oil and Petroleum Products, U.S. Energy Information Administration. Available at: https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=MTTIM_NUSNIR_2&f=A (accessed: 23.09.2022).

Preeg, E. H. (1999), Feeling Good or Doing Good with Sanctions: Unilateral Economic Sanctions and the U.S. National Interest, Washington, D.C.: Center for Strategic and International Studies.

Askari, H., Forrer, J., Teegen, H. and Yang, J. (2001), US Economic Sanctions: Lessons from the Iranian Experience, Business Economics, vol. 36 (3), pp. 7–19.

Torbat, A. E. (2005), Impacts of the US Trade and Financial Sanctions on Iran, The World Economy, vol. 28 (3), pp. 407–434.

Iran Sanctions, Report by Congressional Research Service (updated on April 14, 2020), U.S. Congress. Available at: https://fas.org/sgp/crs/mideast/RS20871.pdf (accessed: 23.09.2022).

World Bank national accounts data, GDP growth (annual %) — Iran, Islamic Rep. Available at: https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GDP.MKTP.KD.ZG?locations=IR&view=chart (accessed: 23.09.2022).

Farzanegan, M. R. and Hayo, B. (2019), Sanctions and the shadow economy: Empirical evidence from Iranian provinces, Applied Economics Letters, vol. 26 (6), pp. 501–505.

Dastgerdi, H. G., Yusof, Z. B. and Shahbaz, M. (2018), Nexus between economic sanctions and inflation: A case study in Iran, Applied Economics, vol. 50 (49), pp. 5316–5334.

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Timofeev, I. N. (2019), Rethinking Sanctions Efficiency, Evidence from 205 U.S. Government Enforcement Actions Against Business, Russia In Global Affairs, no. 3 (July-September), pp. 86–108.

Clawson, P. (2013), Iran beyond Oil?, Policy Watch. Available at: https://www.washingtoninstitute.org/policy-analysis/view/iran-beyond-oil (accessed: 23.09.2022).

Drummond, J. and Khalaj, M. (2011), Iran Finds Way Round Petrol Sanctions, The Financial Times. Available at: https://www.ft.com/content/fabc2bba-32da-11e0-9a61-00144feabdc0 (accessed: 23.09.2022).

Saul, J. and Kasolowsky, R. (2010), Iran feels sanctions heat at UAE ports, Reuters. Available at: https://www.reuters.com/article/us-iran-emirates-shipping/iran-feels-sanctions-heat-at-uae-ports-idUSTRE6721I520100803 (accessed: 23.09.2022).

Irish, J. and Alkousaa, R. (2019), Skirting U.S. sanctions, Europeans open new trade channel to Iran, Reuters. Available at: https://www.reuters.com/article/us-iran-usa-sanctions-eu/germany-france-britain-tolaunch-mechanism-for-trade-with-iran-idUSKCN1PP0K3 (accessed: 23.09.2022).

JCPOA: Chair’s Statement following the meeting of the Joint Commission on 26 February 2020, European External Action Service. Available at: https://eeas.europa.eu/headquarters/headquarters-homepage/75190/jcpoa-chairs-statement-following-meeting-joint-commission_en (accessed: 23.09.2022).

Press release on 27 February 2020: United States and Switzerland Finalize the Swiss Humanitarian Trade Arrangement, U.S. Department of the Treasury. Available at: https://home.treasury.gov/news/pressreleases/sm919 (accessed: 23.09.2022).

General License No. 8 Authorizing Certain Humanitarian Trade Transactions Involving the Central Bank of Iran on 27 February 2020, Office of Foreign Assets Control, U.S. Department of the Treasury. Available at: https://www.treasury.gov/resource-center/sanctions/Programs/Documents/gtsr_gl8.pdf (accessed: 23.09.2022).

Leader’s Speech to Government Officials on 24 July 2012. Available at: http://english.khamenei.ir/news/1655/Leader-s-Speech-to-Government-Officials (accessed: 23.09.2022).

Published

2023-02-09

How to Cite

Timofeev, I., Sokolshchik, Y., & Morozov, V. (2023). Sanctions against Iran: Lessons for Russia in the new international context. Vestnik of Saint Petersburg University. International Relations, 15(4), 405–420. https://doi.org/10.21638/spbu06.2022.404

Issue

Section

MAJOR TRENDS AND CONTRADICTIONS OF THE CONTEMPORARY INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS