The US—Russia relations since Trump took office and China’s policy choices
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.21638/11701/spbu06.2019.402Аннотация
Since Donald Trump took office in early 2017, US—Russian relations have not only failed to “unfreeze,” but have deteriorated even further with continued US sanctions against Russia and increasingly bitter “diplomatic wars,” “media wars,” and intensified geopolitical rivalry in the Middle East. The author of this paper proposes that continuous deterioration of US—Russian relations is not only the result of the disparity of power, mutual misalignment, and the sharp decline of mutual trust between the two countries, but also the result of a strong influence of their respective domestic political factors, reflecting that the US—Russian conflict is accelerating the transition from an exogenous to endogenous one. The paper also argues that for a long time to come, “limited rivalry” will become the “new normal” of US—Russian relations. Against the background of profound adjustment and complex change ability of the international situation, China needs to take a more active and proactive lead in the positive interaction between China, the United States and Russia, avoid further escalation of the competition between the major powers, and jointly deal with the increasingly serious global and regional challenges through the trilateral cooperation between Russia, China and the United States.
Ключевые слова:
US—Russia Relations, China—Russia—US Trilateral Relations, Great Power Relations
Скачивания
Библиографические ссылки
Trump Signs Bill Approving New Sanctions against Russia (2017), CNN, August 2, available at: https://edition.cnn.com/2017/08/02/politics/donald-trump-russia-sanctions-bill/index.html (accessed: 03.09.2019).
Treasury Releases CAATSA Reports, Including on Senior Foreign Political Figures and Oligarchs in the Russian Federation (2018), US Department of the Treasury, January 29, available at: https://home.treasury.gov/news/press-releases/sm0271 (accessed: 03.09.2019).
Treasury Designates Russian Oligarchs, Officials, and Entities in Response to Worldwide Malign Activity (2018), US Department of the Treasury, April 6, available at: https://home.treasury.gov/news/pressreleases/sm0338 (accessed: 03.09.2019).
Peskov said that the deprivation of RT’s accreditation in the US is a violation of freedom of speech. (2017), Rossiiskaia gazeta, November 30, available at: https://rg.ru/2017/11/30/peskov-nazval-lishenieakkreditacii-rt-v-ssha-narusheniem-svobody-slova.html (accessed: 03.09.2019). (In Russian)
The US has held Russia responsible for a possible chemical attack in Syria (2017), RBK, April 8, available at: https://www.rbc.ru/politics/08/04/2018/5ac96b8f9a79472a5ceef7aa (accessed: 03.09.2019). (In Russian)
Real GDP Growth of the United States from 1990 to 2017. Statista, available at: https://www.statista.com/statistics/188105/annual-gdp-of-the-united-states-since-1990 (accessed: 03.09.2019).
National Income and Product Accounts — Gross Domestic Product: Fourth Quarter and Annual 2017 (Third Estimate), Corporate Profits: Fourth Quarter and Annual 2017 (2018), The Bureau of Economic Analysis, March 28, available at: https://www.bea.gov/newsreleases/national/gdp/gdpnewsrelease.htm (accessed: 03.09.2019).
Shelin, S. (2018), Be proud of failures! Rosbalt, 16 March, available at: https://www.rosbalt.ru/blogs/2018/03/16/1689297.html (accessed: 03.09.2019). (In Russian)
DoD Releases Fiscal Year 2018 Budget Proposal (2017), US Department of Defense, May 23, available at: https://www.defense.gov/News/News-Releases/News-Release-View/Article/1190216/dod-releases-fiscalyear2018-budget-proposal (accessed: 03.09.2019).
Russia to Shell out $46 Bln on Defense Spending in 2018 (2017), TASS, December 22, available at: http://tass.com/defense/982575 (accessed: 03.09.2019).
National Security Strategy of the United States of America. The White House, December 2017, available at: https://www.whitehouse.gov/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/NSS-Final-12-18-2017-0905-2.pdf (accessed: 03.09.2019).
Feng, Y. (1999), Russia and the West: A Historical Review of Clash of Civilizations. Asia Review. Fall/Winter.
Speech and discussion at the Munich Security Policy Conference (2007), February 10, available at: http://www.kremlin.ru/events/president/transcripts/24034 (accessed: 03.09.2019).
Ponarin, E., Sokolov, B. (2014), The Russian Elite’s View of Global Politics. Russia in Global Affairs, December 18, available at: http://eng.globalaffairs.ru/number/The-Russian-Elites-View-ofGlobalPolitics-17222 (accessed: 03.09.2019).
Surkov, V. (2018), Mixed-race loneliness. Russia in Global Affairs, 9 April, available at: http://www.globalaffairs.ru/global-processes/Odinochestvo-polukrovki-14-19477 (accessed: 03.09.2019). (In Russian)
Stant, A. (2013), The Limits of Partnership: US—Russian Relations in the Twenty-First Century. Princeton University Press, New York.
Russia: Mixed Diplomatic Progress and Slow Economic Recovery (2017), Cankao Xiaoxi, December 19, available at: http://ihl.cankaoxiaoxi.com/2017/1219/2248381.shtml (accessed: 03.05.2018). (In Chinese)
Lendman, S. (2017), CIA Director Pompeo Sees Nonexistent Threats Everywhere. Stephen Lendman website, July 27, available at: http://stephenlendman.org/2017/07/cia-director-pompeo-sees-nonexistentthreatseverywhere (accessed: 06.04.2018).
CIA Chief Says China ‘as Big a Threat to US’ as Russia (2018), BBC, January 30, available at: http://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-42867076 (accessed: 03.05.2019).
Russian Ambassador to China: Russia-China Relations Completely Irrelevant of Ideology (2017), Sputnik New, February 8, available at: http://sputniknews.cn/russia_china_relations/201702081021806921 (accessed: 03.09.2019).
Загрузки
Опубликован
Как цитировать
Выпуск
Раздел
Лицензия
Статьи журнала «Вестник Санкт-Петербургского университета. Международные отношения» находятся в открытом доступе и распространяются в соответствии с условиями Лицензионного Договора с Санкт-Петербургским государственным университетом, который бесплатно предоставляет авторам неограниченное распространение и самостоятельное архивирование.